Jul 12, 2010

Q1 2010 DSL: China Remarkable, India, Russia, Philippines Surging

Q1 results from the ever invaluable Point-Topic show that countries 60% or more served with broadband are growing slowly. Several with low penetration are catching up. China continues to dominate growth, likely to continue as the cablecos jump into the market with DOCSIS and EPON. Fiona Vanier sums up "China contributed 40% of the total broadband lines added in the first 3 months of 2010.... Relatively poor performance in the American markets and flat numbers in Europe."
Some observations:
Most of the growth is from less wealthy companies, with China, India, Russia and Mexico among the leaders. Turkey, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Egypt also grew.
In IPTV, France currently leads as triple play over DSL is the primary product. The U.S. is catching up, led by AT&T U-Verse. China is growing rapidly and with government support for "convergence" is likely to quickly pull ahead.
China has 25M more broadband lines than the U.S. and the gap is widening at about 10 million lines per year.
Where fiber is available, it draws subscribers from DSL. Korea and especially Japan are seeing absolute drops in DSL with Japan losing 1/7th of the DSL lines in the last year.
From Point-Topic, The top 7 countries in DSL and those with the best DSL growth in Q1 DSL. Then, from the Broadband Forum, again dependent on Point-Topic data, the leading broadband countries and the leaders in IPTV. Written by Dave Burstein

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